60 Days


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Only 60 days remain until the 2018 midterm election. The Republicans are surging in the polls in both the federal and state races. The Democrats are the clear favorites to win the house popular vote if the election was held today but things can change in 60 days. The Democrats are also not guaranteed to win the majority even with the popular vote as the 2016 Presidential election and the 2012 congressional election proved. The Republicans are favorites to keep the Senate and the governorship's along with state legislators across the country but things can change over the next 60 days. There are likely to be mixed results in the federal elections. 

At the state level the Democrats are favorites to win the Senate wile the governorship along with the other executive offices are tossups. The Republicans are clear favorites to win the majority and most likely the popular vote of the Ohio General Assembly. The Republicans are even more favored to take the State Senate and State Board of Education. Republicans are also very likely to win are majorly of the states Congressional Delegation and possible the statewide popular vote for congress. They are most likely to dominate the majority of the county elections statewide and also the majority of the State Appeals Court elections statewide. The Republicans will likely be dominate in the state elections.

In Cuyahoga County the Democrats are heavy favorites to win the County Executive election along with other county wide elections. They are favored to win the majority of judicial elections including the state appeals court and common pleas court. They are also most likely going to win a majorly of the seats in the County Council. The Democrats will like be successful in the county elections.

That is what would likely happen if the election was today and the polls were correct but that is not the case. First the polls can be wrong like in 2016 and the results can be different. This could result in a better result for the Democrats or a better result for the Republicans. Two months can be a long time in politics and a lot can change. The polls can change drastically to the point where they are completely different 60 days form now than they are today if the people change there mind from successful campaigning. This can also help or hurt either party. 

Third there is the October Surprise. That is a drastic change in the political environment right before the election. An example is the collapse of the Roy Moore Senate campaign last year. This would most likely help those who are losing as it usually happens against the front runner. This can also the front runner if the trailing candidate implodes but is not likely for there is a reason why they are trailing. 

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